This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CS Maritimo U23 win in 17% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Moreirense U23 win 63%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 0-2 (10%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CS Maritimo U23 took the lead on 20 minutes. CS Maritimo U23 led 1-0 at the break.
Match statistics
On target it was 1-4, from 1 and 5 attempts respectively. Corners finished 2-5. Dangerous attacks: 140 for Moreirense U23, 91 for CS Maritimo U23.
What it means
CS Maritimo U23 slip to 20th (9 points), having started the day 19th. Moreirense U23 remain 7th, now with 15 points. Moreirense U23's 8-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
