11' — Millwall took the lead: 0-1. T. Arconte scored it. 36' — Millwall extended the lead: 0-2. L. Dykes scored it. Half time: 0-2.
50' — Middlesbrough pulled one back: 1-2. A. Cozier-Duberry scored it. 61' — Middlesbrough equalised: 2-2. W. Lankshear scored it. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
Pre-match model estimate: Middlesbrough 51%, draw 26%, Millwall 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Millwall took the lead in the 11th minute: T. Arconte, set up by C. Neghli. Millwall extended their lead to 2-0 in the 36th minute: L. Dykes, set up by C. Taylor. Half-time: 0-2, Millwall in front.
Middlesbrough pulled one back to make it 1-2 in the 50th minute: A. Cozier-Duberry. W. Lankshear equalised for Middlesbrough at 2-2 after 61 minutes, set up by L. Ayling.
The bigger picture
Across 5 meetings in our records: 2 wins for Middlesbrough, 2 wins for Millwall and 1 draw.
Coming up
Middlesbrough host Charlton Athletic next, on 31 October in the English League Championship. Next up for Millwall: home to Derby County on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
English League Championship
