Millwall vs Derby County kick-off time and TV channel: 31/10/2026
Match info
What channel is the match on?
Paramount+
Broadcast info: broadcaster listings
Last 5 matches
More- MillwallLDLWDNo win in 3 matches
- Derby CountyDLLDDNo win in 8 matches
Recent meetings
More- ChampionshipMillwall1 - 0Derby County
- ChampionshipDerby County1 - 1Millwall
- ChampionshipDerby County0 - 1Millwall
Championship
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sheffield United | 12 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | -3 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby County | 12 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston North End | 12 | -15 | 5 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Millwall and Derby County meet on in English League Championship.
Venue: The Den.
In our records Millwall and Derby County have met 10 times: Millwall won 5, 3 ended level and Derby County won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Millwall 1-0 Derby County.
Missing players
Players who will not play in this match, and doubtful ones
Derby County
- Dion SandersonRed card ban · misses the next English League Championship match
Based on the pre-match reports; it can change until kick-off.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Millwall (58%).
Why it matters: A relegation battle for Derby County.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Millwall vs Derby County: preview
Millwall have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Millwall have not won in 3 matches. 7 of Millwall's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. Derby County have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Derby County have not won in 8 matches. 4 of Derby County's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
In their last 10 meetings, Millwall won 5, 3 ended level and Derby County won 2. Millwall are in position 13 with 15 points, Derby County in position 23 with 7 points. A win could lift Millwall as high as position 10. A win could lift Derby County as high as position 22.
Our pre-match model estimate: Millwall 58%, draw 23%, Derby County 19%.
Table by result
- A win can lift them as high as 10.
- A defeat can drop them as low as 15.
- A win lifts them to 22.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Millwall win in 58% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Derby County win 19%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 49%. About 10.3 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.

