Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Excelsior Maassluis and Heerenveen meet on in KNVB Cup.
Venue: Sportpark Dijkpolder.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Heerenveen (77%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
14%77%
Excelsior Maassluis9%Draw14%Heerenveen77%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen: preview
Excelsior Maassluis have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. Excelsior Maassluis are unbeaten in 10 matches. 4 of Excelsior Maassluis's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. Heerenveen have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. 6 of Heerenveen's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Excelsior Maassluis win in 9% of the simulated matches, 14% end level and Heerenveen win 77%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 0-2 (11%); both teams score in 51%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Over the last 5 matches, Excelsior Maassluis have collected 5 wins. 10 games without defeat for Excelsior Maassluis. 6 of Excelsior Maassluis' last 10 matches ended without a goal conceded.
Over the last 5 matches, Heerenveen have collected 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Last time out, Heerenveen beat ADO Den Haag3-2 away. 6 of Heerenveen's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
KNVB Cup
