Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Marist and Siena meet on in NCAA Division I.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Marist (47%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
47%27%26%
Marist47%Draw27%Siena26%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Marist vs Siena: preview
Marist have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches. Marist have scored in 4 matches in a row. Siena have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches. Siena have not won in 4 matches.
Our pre-match model estimate: Marist 47%, draw 27%, Siena 26%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Marist win in 47% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Siena win 26%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 45%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
