Quinnipiac 0-1 Merrimack: NCAA Division I result, 04/11/2026
No events yet.
Merrimack beat Quinnipiac 1-0 in NCAA Division I.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
- Scoreyes
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsno
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: Merrimack won 0-1.
Story
Quinnipiac vs Merrimack: the story of the match
Merrimack won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: Quinnipiac 66%, draw 18%, Merrimack 16%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsWhat the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Quinnipiac win in 66% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Merrimack win 16%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.