Georgia Southern 1-2 UCF: NCAA Division I result, 04/11/2026
No events yet.
UCF beat Georgia Southern 2-1 in NCAA Division I.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
- Scoreyes
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsno
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: UCF won 1-2.
Story
Georgia Southern vs UCF: the story of the match
UCF won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: Georgia Southern 10%, draw 13%, UCF 77%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsWhat the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Georgia Southern win in 10% of the simulated matches, 13% end level and UCF win 77%. Average goals 4.4; the most likely score is 1-3 (8%); both teams score in 66%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.