This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Londrina EC PR win in 34% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Cuiaba EC win 38%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 46%. About 11.1 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Londrina EC PR took the lead in the 35th minute: William Pottker. A Londrina EC PR goal stood after a VAR check in the 37th minute. Half-time: 1-0, Londrina EC PR in front.
What the numbers say
Londrina EC PR had 6 shots (4 on target) to Cuiaba EC's 9 (3). Corners finished 2-8. Dangerous attacks: 62 for Cuiaba EC, 19 for Londrina EC PR.
What the result means
A 5-game wait for victory is over for Londrina EC PR. Londrina EC PR beat Cuiaba EC for the first time since 2019.
Coming up
Next up for Cuiaba EC: home to EC Juventude RS on Saturday 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Brasileiro Serie B
