Lens vs Toulouse (Ligue 1) kick-off time: 21 Nov 2026
Ligue 1
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 2-1 (10%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- LensLLLWL3 defeats in a row
- ToulouseWLDWD
- Coupe de FranceLens4 - 1Toulouse
- Ligue 1Lens3 - 2Toulouse
- Ligue 1Toulouse0 - 3Lens
- Per match
- Corners won4.6·4.0
- Yellow cards1.9·2.6
Ligue 1
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 | Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | -4 | 10 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Lens and Toulouse meet on in Ligue 1.
In our records Lens and Toulouse have met 5 times: Lens won 3, 1 ended level and Toulouse won 1.
Their latest meeting (): Lens 4-1 Toulouse.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Lens 2.1 – 1.2 Toulouse. Most frequent scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Both teams score in 61% of the simulated matches.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- Lens: the stronger side on our resultsLEstrong
- Lens: home advantage in this competitionLEstrong
- Lens: plays in a continental competition this season; such teams have done a little better in their other matches than our model expectedLEstrong
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Lens.
Preview
Lens vs Toulouse: preview
Lens have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. Lens have lost 3 matches in a row. 7 of Lens's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Toulouse have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. 7 of Toulouse's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6.
In their last 5 meetings, Lens won 3, 1 ended level and Toulouse won 1.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
