3' — Lecce took the lead: 1-0. L. Coulibaly scored it. 10' — Lecce extended the lead: 2-0. Tiago Gabriel scored it. 20' — AC Monza pulled one back: 2-1. R. Mangas scored it. 21' — Lecce extended the lead: 3-1. L. Coulibaly scored it. Half time: 3-1.
89' — AC Monza pulled one back: 3-2. E. Zeballos scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Lecce won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
LecceDrawAC Monza
Pre-match model estimate: Lecce 42%, draw 25%, AC Monza 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AC Monza went down 3-2 to Lecce in Serie A. L. Coulibaly scored twice for Lecce. The half-time score was 3-1.
How the match unfolded
Lecce took the lead on 3 minutes thanks to L. Coulibaly, set up by I. Ilic. Lecce extended their lead to 2-0 in the 10th minute: Tiago Gabriel, set up by I. Ilic. AC Monza pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 20 minutes thanks to R. Mangas, set up by S. Birindelli. Lecce extended their lead to 3-1 in the 21st minute: L. Coulibaly, set up by D. Veiga. It was Lecce 3-1 AC Monza at half-time.
AC Monza pulled one back to make it 3-2 on 89 minutes thanks to E. Zeballos.
What it means
AC Monza have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
Coming up
Lecce's next match is at home against Genoa on 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.