6' — KVC Westerlo took the lead: 0-1. D. Ourega scored it. 13' — KVC Westerlo extended the lead: 0-2. An own goal by M. Smets. 41' — KRC Genk pulled one back: 1-2. R. Durosinmi scored from the penalty spot. 43' — KRC Genk equalised: 2-2. B. Heynen scored it. Half time: 2-2.
79' — KRC Genk completed the turnaround: 3-2. A. Bibout scored it. KRC Genk won 3-2.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
KVC Westerlo took the lead in the 6th minute: D. Ourega, set up by C. Congreve. KVC Westerlo extended their lead to 2-0 on 13 minutes thanks to an own goal from M. Smets. KRC Genk pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 41 minutes thanks to R. Durosinmi from the penalty spot. Just 2 minutes later (43') KRC Genk drew level at 2-2, B. Heynen on target, set up by A. Yokoyama. The first half ended 2-2.
KRC Genk completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 79 minutes thanks to A. Bibout.
Jupiler Pro League
