KuPS Kuopio vs IF Gnistan, 29/10/2026 17:00 – live score

Finland

Veikkausliiga, Relegation Round Round 30

Start: Thursday, 29 October 2026 17:00Venue: Vare Areena

KuPS Kuopio

17:00

IF Gnistan

Match info

Thursday, 29 October 2026 17:00

Venue: Vare Areena

Last 5 matches

KuPS KuopioDLWLL
IF GnistanLLLDDNo win in 5 matches

Recent meetings

1KuPS Kuopio1Draws0IF Gnistan

8 Sept 2026VeikkausliigaIF Gnistan1 - 1KuPS Kuopio
1 Aug 2026VeikkausliigaIF Gnistan0 - 1KuPS Kuopio

Veikkausliiga

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	22	+15	43
2	Inter Turku	22	+13	42
3	HJK Helsinki	22	+9	37
4	IF Gnistan	22	+7	36
5	AC Oulu	22	0	34

Line-ups

Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.

About this match

KuPS Kuopio and IF Gnistan meet on Thursday, 29 October 2026 17:00 in Veikkausliiga, Relegation Round.

Venue: Vare Areena.

In our records KuPS Kuopio and IF Gnistan have met 2 times: KuPS Kuopio won 1, 1 ended level and IF Gnistan won 0.

Their latest meeting (08/09/26): IF Gnistan 1-1 KuPS Kuopio.

Pre-match analysis

Not started

Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes

Before kick-off the model leans towards KuPS Kuopio (65%).

Chances to win

Model estimate

65%20%15%

KuPS Kuopio65%Draw20%IF Gnistan15%

How is this calculated?

This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.

Preview

KuPS Kuopio vs IF Gnistan: preview

KuPS Kuopio have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. 2 of KuPS Kuopio's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3. IF Gnistan have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. IF Gnistan have not won in 5 matches. 5 of IF Gnistan's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.

In their last 2 meetings, KuPS Kuopio won 1, 1 ended level and IF Gnistan won 0. KuPS Kuopio are in position 1 with 43 points, IF Gnistan in position 4 with 36 points. A win could lift IF Gnistan as high as position 3.

Our pre-match model estimate: KuPS Kuopio 65%, draw 20%, IF Gnistan 15%.

Table by result

KuPS Kuopio1Next round

Win1Draw1Loss1

IF Gnistan4Next round

A win lifts them to 3.

Win3Draw3–4Loss4

Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.

Match simulation

Model estimate · 20,000 simulations

Preparing the simulation…

Model simulation (20,000 runs): KuPS Kuopio win in 65% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and IF Gnistan win 15%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 52%.

The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.

KuPS Kuopio – IF Gnistan preview

Updated: 28 Oct 2026 10:21

KuPS Kuopio and IF Gnistan meet in the Veikkausliiga, Relegation Round at 17:00 on Thursday 29 October, in round 30.

League position

It is 1st against 4th: KuPS Kuopio have 43 points, IF Gnistan 36 points. This is a meeting of two top-four sides separated by 7 points: KuPS Kuopio against IF Gnistan.

Recent form

Recent form for KuPS Kuopio: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in 5, with 6 goals for and 9 against. KuPS Kuopio drew 2-2 with HJK Helsinki last time out. KuPS Kuopio average 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game over their last 10.

IF Gnistan come into it with 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 matches. IF Gnistan have gone 5 matches without a win. Across 10 matches, IF Gnistan have scored 1.4 and let in 1.7 goals per match on average.

Previous meetings

The record between them over the last 2 matches reads 1-1-0 from KuPS Kuopio's point of view. When they last met, on 8 September 2026, it ended 1-1.

KuPS Kuopio – IF Gnistan: all meetings

This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.

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