IF Gnistan vs VPS kick-off time: 08/11/2026 13:00
Veikkausliiga, Relegation Round
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- IF GnistanLDLLLNo win in 7 matches
- VPSLDLLWNo win in 4 matches
Recent meetings
More- VeikkausliigaVPS1 - 0IF Gnistan
- VeikkausliigaIF Gnistan1 - 1VPS
- VeikkausliigaVPS1 - 1IF Gnistan
Veikkausliiga
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 | IF Gnistan | 22 | +7 | 36 |
| 5 | AC Oulu | 22 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | VPS | 22 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 | FC Lahti | 22 | +7 | 32 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
IF Gnistan and VPS meet on in Veikkausliiga, Relegation Round.
Venue: Markku.fi Areena.
In our records IF Gnistan and VPS have met 10 times: IF Gnistan won 3, 4 ended level and VPS won 3.
Their latest meeting (): VPS 1-0 IF Gnistan.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards IF Gnistan (48%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
IF Gnistan vs VPS: preview
IF Gnistan have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. IF Gnistan have not won in 7 matches. 4 of IF Gnistan's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7. VPS have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. VPS have not won in 4 matches. 2 of VPS's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 0.
In their last 10 meetings, IF Gnistan won 3, 4 ended level and VPS won 3. IF Gnistan are in position 4 with 36 points, VPS in position 6 with 33 points. A win could lift IF Gnistan as high as position 3. A win could lift VPS as high as position 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: IF Gnistan 48%, draw 23%, VPS 29%.
Table by result
- A win lifts them to 3.
- A defeat can drop them as low as 5.
- A win can lift them as high as 4.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): IF Gnistan win in 48% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and VPS win 29%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 61%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 3.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
