Guinea Bissau vs Madagascar kick-off time: 17 Nov 2026
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 1-0 (17%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- Guinea BissauDWWDLUnbeaten in 4 matches
- MadagascarDDLLDNo win in 5 matches
- Africa Cup of Nations QualificationMadagascar1 - 1Guinea Bissau
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guinea Bissau | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 3 | Madagascar | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Guinea Bissau and Madagascar meet on in Africa Cup of Nations Qualification.
Venue: Stade du 24 Septembre.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Guinea Bissau 1.4 – 0.7 Madagascar. Most frequent scores: 1-0 (17%), 0-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Both teams score in 37% of the simulated matches.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- Madagascar: the stronger side on our resultsMAstrong
- Guinea Bissau: home advantage in this competitionGBstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Guinea Bissau.
Preview
Guinea Bissau vs Madagascar: preview
Guinea Bissau have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Guinea Bissau are unbeaten in 4 matches. 2 of Guinea Bissau's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3. Madagascar have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Madagascar have not won in 5 matches. 6 of Madagascar's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 8.
Guinea Bissau are in position 1 with 7 points, Madagascar in position 3 with 2 points. A win could lift Madagascar as high as position 2.
Table by result
- A win lifts them to 2.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
