One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Al-HashemeyaKick-off0-0Sama Al Sarhan
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Al-Hashemeya 1.1 – 1.2 Sama Al Sarhan. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Both teams score in 47% of the simulated matches. About 8.8 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
Al-HashemeyaSama Al Sarhan
Al-Hashemeya: the stronger side on our resultsALstrong
Al-Hashemeya: home advantage in this competitionALclear
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Table by result
Al-Hashemeya6
A win can lift them as high as 4.
A defeat drops them to 7.
Win4–6Draw6–7Loss7
Sama Al Sarhan7
A win can lift them as high as 4.
Win4–6Draw6–7Loss7
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It is 6th against 7th: Al-Hashemeya have 10 points, Sama Al Sarhan 10 points.
Form guide
Al-HashemeyaDLDWDSama Al SarhanLWLWD
Over the last 5 matches, Al-Hashemeya have collected 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Al-Hashemeya have gone 3 matches without a win. Al-Hashemeya's recent home record reads 2 wins and 3 defeats in 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Al-Hashemeya average 0.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game over their last 10.
Over the last 5 matches, Sama Al Sarhan have collected 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Sama Al Sarhan have scored in each of their last 7 matches. On the road, Sama Al Sarhan have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches, with a goal tally of 2-6. Across 10 matches, Sama Al Sarhan have scored 0.7 and let in 1.1 goals per match on average.
The history between them
In 4 previous meetings, Al-Hashemeya have won 2, Sama Al Sarhan 1, and 1 has been drawn. When they last met, on 11 December 2024, it ended 1-1. There have been 14 goals in the 4 meetings, 3.5 a game.
Jordan 1st Division
