Ethiopia vs Mozambique kick-off time: 17/11/2026 13:00
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- EthiopiaLLDWWNo win in 3 matches
- MozambiqueWWDLLUnbeaten in 3 matches
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comoros | 6 | +3 | 12 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 6 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 | Gambia | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Madagascar | 6 | -4 | 2 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Ethiopia and Mozambique meet on in Africa Cup of Nations Qualification.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Ethiopia vs Mozambique: preview
Ethiopia have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Ethiopia have not won in 3 matches. 2 of Ethiopia's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 2. Mozambique have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Mozambique are unbeaten in 3 matches. 6 of Mozambique's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6.
Our pre-match model estimate: Ethiopia 37%, draw 29%, Mozambique 34%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Ethiopia win in 37% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and Mozambique win 34%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 45%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
