Go Ahead Eagles vs SC Telstar: the story of the match
7' — Go Ahead Eagles took the lead: 1-0. Sören Tengstedt scored it. 33' — Go Ahead Eagles extended the lead: 2-0. Sören Tengstedt scored it. Half time: 2-0.
48' — SC Telstar pulled one back: 2-1. Tyrone Owusu scored it. 67' — Go Ahead Eagles extended the lead: 3-1. Evert Linthorst scored it. 90' — SC Telstar pulled one back: 3-2. Sem Valk scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Go Ahead Eagles won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Go Ahead EaglesDrawSC Telstar
Pre-match model estimate: Go Ahead Eagles 63%, draw 19%, SC Telstar 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Go Ahead Eagles win in 63% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and SC Telstar win 18%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 64%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Go Ahead Eagles took the lead on 7 minutes thanks to Sören Tengstedt, set up by Oskar Siira Sivertsen. Sören Tengstedt made it 2-0 for Go Ahead Eagles after 33 minutes, set up by Mathis Suray. Go Ahead Eagles led 2-0 at the break.
SC Telstar pulled one back to make it 2-1 in the 48th minute: Tyrone Owusu. Go Ahead Eagles extended their lead to 3-1 on 67 minutes thanks to Evert Linthorst, set up by Tomas Galvez. SC Telstar pulled one back to make it 3-2 in the 90th minute: Sem Valk.
Match statistics
Go Ahead Eagles had 14 shots (7 on target) to SC Telstar's 6 (3). Go Ahead Eagles won 4 corners, SC Telstar 2.
What it means
Go Ahead Eagles end a run of 6 matches without a win. SC Telstar have now gone 9 matches without a win. It is Go Ahead Eagles' first win against SC Telstar since 2021.
Coming up
Next up for Go Ahead Eagles: away at SBV Excelsior on Saturday 7 November. SC Telstar's next match is away to Fortuna Sittard on 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eredivisie
