Fluminense vs SE Palmeiras: the story of the match
45' — SE Palmeiras took the lead: 0-1. J. López scored it. Half time: 0-1.
85' — SE Palmeiras extended the lead: 0-2. Marlon Freitas scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Fluminense pulled one back: 1-2. Wesley Nata scored it. It came in the closing minutes. SE Palmeiras won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FluminenseDrawSE Palmeiras
Pre-match model estimate: Fluminense 26%, draw 31%, SE Palmeiras 43%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
SE Palmeiras beat Fluminense2-1 in Copa Libertadores at Estádio do Maracanã. It was 0-1 at half-time.
Key moments
J. López opened the scoring for SE Palmeiras after 45 minutes, set up by J. Piquerez. Half-time: 0-1, SE Palmeiras in front.
Late on, in the 85th minute, SE Palmeiras extended their lead to 2-0 through Marlon Freitas, set up by Felipe Anderson. Fluminense pulled one back to make it 1-2 in the 90th minute: Wesley Nata.
The statistics
The shot count read 11-6, 6-5 on target. Corners finished 6-0. Dangerous attacks: 74 for Fluminense, 21 for SE Palmeiras.
The bigger picture
SE Palmeiras are now unbeaten in 4 matches.
Coming up
Fluminense's next match is away to EC Vitoria BA on 6 November. SE Palmeiras visit CR Vasco da Gama next, on 8 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
