FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia: the story of the match
8' — CSKA Sofia took the lead: 0-1. Santiago Godoy scored it. Half time: 0-1.
55' — FC Nordsjaelland equalised: 1-1. Ibrahim Adel scored it. 68' — FC Nordsjaelland completed the turnaround: 2-1. Ibrahim Adel scored it. 76' — Justin Janssen of FC Nordsjaelland was sent off. 88' — CSKA Sofia equalised: 2-2. Santiago Godoy scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC NordsjaellandDrawCSKA Sofia
Pre-match model estimate: FC Nordsjaelland 65%, draw 19%, CSKA Sofia 16%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Nordsjaelland win in 65% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and CSKA Sofia win 16%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CSKA Sofia took the lead on 8 minutes thanks to Santiago Godoy, set up by Stefano Sensi. CSKA Sofia led 1-0 at the break.
Ibrahim Adel equalised for FC Nordsjaelland at 1-1 after 55 minutes, set up by Noah Markmann. FC Nordsjaelland completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 68th minute: Ibrahim Adel. FC Nordsjaelland were a man down from the 76th minute, when Justin Janssen was sent off for a second yellow card. Late on, in the 88th minute, CSKA Sofia drew level at 2-2 through Santiago Godoy.
Match statistics
Corners finished 5-2.
The bigger picture
FC Nordsjaelland sit 19th on 2 points in the standings. In the table, CSKA Sofia are 23rd with 1 point. The wait for a win goes on for FC Nordsjaelland: 6 matches now. CSKA Sofia have now scored in 10 consecutive matches.
Next fixtures
Next up for FC Nordsjaelland: home to FC Midtjylland on Sunday 1 November. CSKA Sofia's next match is away to Panathinaikos on 5 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
UEFA Conference League
