FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby BK: the story of the match
17' — FC Midtjylland took the lead: 1-0. Cho Gue-Sung scored it. 32' — Lyngby BK equalised: 1-1. Simon Colyn scored it. 45' — FC Midtjylland went back in front: 2-1. Friday Etim scored it. Half time: 2-1.
48' — FC Midtjylland extended the lead: 3-1. Philip Billing scored from the penalty spot. 89' — Lyngby BK pulled one back: 3-2. Gustav Fraulo scored it. It came in the closing minutes. FC Midtjylland won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC MidtjyllandDrawLyngby BK
Pre-match model estimate: FC Midtjylland 71%, draw 17%, Lyngby BK 12%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Midtjylland win in 71% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and Lyngby BK win 12%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-0 (10%); both teams score in 59%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Midtjylland took the lead in the 17th minute: Cho Gue-Sung. Lyngby BK drew level at 1-1 on 32 minutes thanks to Simon Colyn. Friday Etim put FC Midtjylland 2-1 ahead after 45 minutes. Half-time: 2-1, FC Midtjylland in front.
Philip Billing made it 3-1 for FC Midtjylland after 48 minutes. Lyngby BK pulled one back to make it 3-2 in the 89th minute: Gustav Fraulo.
Match statistics
FC Midtjylland won 5 corners, Lyngby BK 2. FC Midtjylland produced 47 dangerous attacks to Lyngby BK's 31.
The bigger picture
Lyngby BK have now gone 6 matches without a win.
What’s next
FC Midtjylland's next match is at home against Ajax Amsterdam on 5 November. Lyngby BK visit Silkeborg IF next, on 6 November in Superligaen.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Superligaen
