46' — FC Libertad took the lead: 1-0. Cristhian Valencia scored it. 61' — CS Emelec equalised: 1-1. José Cevallos scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC LibertadDrawCS Emelec
Pre-match model estimate: FC Libertad 52%, draw 29%, CS Emelec 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Libertad took the lead on 46 minutes thanks to Cristhian Valencia. CS Emelec drew level at 1-1 in the 61st minute: José Cevallos, set up by Ronie Carrillo.
The bigger picture
Across 6 meetings in our records: 1 win for FC Libertad, 1 win for CS Emelec and 4 draws.
What’s next
FC Libertad's next match is at home against CS Emelec on 7 November. CS Emelec visit FC Libertad next, on 7 November in Serie A, Relegation Round.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie A, Relegation Round
