17' — FK Akron took the lead: 1-0. Artem Shumanskiy scored it. Half time: 1-0.
55' — Dynamo Moscow equalised: 1-1. Iaroslav Gladyshev scored it. 70' — FK Akron went back in front: 2-1. Kristijan Bistrovic scored it. 90' — FK Akron extended the lead: 3-1. It came in the closing minutes. FK Akron won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FK AkronDrawDynamo Moscow
Pre-match model estimate: FK Akron 19%, draw 22%, Dynamo Moscow 59%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Akron win in 19% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Dynamo Moscow win 59%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 0-1 (11%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FK Akron took the lead in the 17th minute: Artem Shumanskiy. It was FK Akron 1-0 Dynamo Moscow at half-time.
Dynamo Moscow drew level at 1-1 in the 55th minute: Iaroslav Gladyshev. FK Akron went 2-1 up in the 70th minute: Kristijan Bistrovic. Late on, in the 90th minute, FK Akron extended their lead to 3-1.
Match statistics
On target it was 3-4, from 9 and 19 attempts respectively. Corners finished 0-11. Dynamo Moscow produced 226 dangerous attacks to FK Akron's 82.
The bigger picture
FK Akron end a run of 4 matches without a win. The result ends Dynamo Moscow's run of 8 straight wins.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
