EC Bahia vs Coritiba (Brasileiro Serie A) kick-off time: 21 Nov 2026
Brasileiro Serie A
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 1-0 (11%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- EC BahiaLWDLWScored in 3 matches in a row
- CoritibaDWLLD
- Serie ACoritiba3 - 2EC Bahia
- Per match
- Corners won5.8·4.8
- Yellow cards2.2·2.3
Brasileiro Serie A
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
EC Bahia and Coritiba meet on in Brasileiro Serie A.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals EC Bahia 1.8 – 1.0 Coritiba. Most frequent scores: 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Both teams score in 53% of the simulated matches.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- EC Bahia: the stronger side on our resultsEBstrong
- EC Bahia: home advantage in this competitionEBstrong
Also considered
- EC Bahia: last match 3 days ago (short rest)
- Coritiba: last match 3 days ago (short rest)
In our past matches these circumstances did not measurably improve the prediction, so they do not change the percentages.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards EC Bahia.
Preview
EC Bahia vs Coritiba: preview
EC Bahia have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. EC Bahia have scored in 3 matches in a row. 7 of EC Bahia's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7. Coritiba have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 5 of Coritiba's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
