22' — Coritiba took the lead: 1-0. An own goal by Fernando Marçal. 34' — Botafogo equalised: 1-1. Danilo Santos scored it. Half time: 1-1.
The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CoritibaDrawBotafogo
Pre-match model estimate: Coritiba 42%, draw 27%, Botafogo 31%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Coritiba took the lead on 22 minutes thanks to an own goal from Fernando Marçal. Danilo Santos equalised for Botafogo at 1-1 after 34 minutes, set up by Cristian Medina. The first half ended 1-1.
Match statistics
On target it was 3-4, from 12 and 10 attempts respectively. Corners finished 8-7. Coritiba's goalkeeper made 5 saves. Dangerous attacks: 158 for Botafogo, 100 for Coritiba.
What the result means
The wait for a win goes on for Coritiba: 5 matches now.
Brasileiro Serie A
