We had a Norwich City win as the most likely outcome.
✓ Norwich City 50%✗ Most likely score 1-2
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Norwich City won 0-4.
Story
Derby County vs Norwich City: the story of the match
8' — Norwich City took the lead: 0-1. Anthony Musaba scored it. 27' — Norwich City extended the lead: 0-2. Paris Maghoma scored it. 44' — Norwich City extended the lead: 0-3. Darlin Yongwa scored it. Half time: 0-3.
66' — Norwich City extended the lead: 0-4. Jovon Makama scored it. Norwich City won 0-4.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Derby CountyDrawNorwich City
Pre-match model estimate: Derby County 26%, draw 24%, Norwich City 50%.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Derby County win in 26% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Norwich City win 50%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 58%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 4-0 rout: Norwich City swept Derby County aside at Pride Park. The half-time score was 0-3. The top ScoreMondo rating of the match went to Norwich City's Darlin Yongwa: 7.5.
How the match unfolded
Norwich City took the lead on 8 minutes thanks to Anthony Musaba. Norwich City extended their lead to 2-0 in the 27th minute through Paris Maghoma, set up by Jack Stacey. Norwich City extended their lead to 3-0 in the 44th minute through Darlin Yongwa. Half-time: 0-3, Norwich City in front.
Jovon Makama made it 4-0 for Norwich City after 66 minutes.
The statistics
Derby County had 5 shots (2 on target) to Norwich City's 11 (7). Derby County won 4 corners, Norwich City 5. Norwich City produced 51 dangerous attacks to Derby County's 34.
What it means
Derby County have now gone 10 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.