Derby County vs Stoke City: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
49' — Stoke City took the lead: 0-1. Luke Graham scored it. Stoke City won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Derby CountyDrawStoke City
Pre-match model estimate: Derby County 26%, draw 28%, Stoke City 46%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Derby County had 12 shots (3 on target) to Stoke City's 7 (4). Derby County won 6 corners, Stoke City 4. Derby County produced 69 dangerous attacks to Stoke City's 49.
What it means
Derby County have now gone 7 matches without a win. Stoke City have now scored in 8 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
