One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
CR Vasco da GamaKick-off0-0Boca Juniors
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CR Vasco da Gama win in 41% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Boca Juniors win 31%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 46%.
Previous meetings and form
Head to head
1CR Vasco da Gama0Draws0Boca Juniors
Goals: 1 - 0 · last 1 meetings
Copa SudamericanaBoca Juniors0 - 1CR Vasco da Gama
Goals scored per match: 1.8Goals conceded per match: 0.7
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Boca Juniors won 1-3.
Story
CR Vasco da Gama vs Boca Juniors: the story of the match
4' — Boca Juniors took the lead: 0-1. 33' — Boca Juniors extended the lead: 0-2. Half time: 0-2.
51' — CR Vasco da Gama pulled one back: 1-2. 89' — Boca Juniors extended the lead: 1-3. It came in the closing minutes. Boca Juniors won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CR Vasco da GamaDrawBoca Juniors
Pre-match model estimate: CR Vasco da Gama 41%, draw 28%, Boca Juniors 31%.
Boca Juniors got the better of CR Vasco da Gama, winning 3-1 at Estadio do Maracana. It was 0-2 at half-time. The top ScoreMondo rating of the match went to Boca Juniors' Á. Montero: 6.7. The match was played on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Estadio do Maracana.
The story of the match
Boca Juniors took the lead on 4 minutes. Boca Juniors extended their lead to 2-0 on 33 minutes. Boca Juniors led 2-0 at the break.
CR Vasco da Gama pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 51 minutes. Late on, in the 89th minute, Boca Juniors extended their lead to 3-1.
The statistics
The shot count read 11-7, 2-4 on target. By our xG model, CR Vasco da Gama's chances were worth 1.18 goals and Boca Juniors' 0.93. Corners finished 5-5. Dangerous attacks: 59 for CR Vasco da Gama, 26 for Boca Juniors. CR Vasco da Gama committed 9 fouls to Boca Juniors' 15, and the offside count read 0-1.
The players
The best ScoreMondo ratings after the player of the match went to L. Di Lollo (Boca Juniors, 6.7), F. Herrera (Boca Juniors, 6.5) and L. Blanco (Boca Juniors, 6.5).
Before the match
CR Vasco da Gama came into the match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches. Sao Paulo FC beat CR Vasco da Gama 1-0 last time out. Before kick-off, Boca Juniors' last 5 matches had brought 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Last time out, Boca Juniors beat CA Talleres de Cordoba2-1 at home. Jesus Valenzuela was the referee, averaging 4.5 yellow cards per match across 41 matches in our records.
What’s next
Next up for CR Vasco da Gama: away at Chapecoense SC on Saturday 14 November. Boca Juniors' next match is away to CA Banfield on 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
