Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Boca Juniors beat CA Independiente Avellaneda 1-0 in Liga Profesional.
Venue: Estadio Libertadores de América.
In our records CA Independiente Avellaneda and Boca Juniors have met 10 times: CA Independiente Avellaneda won 2, 6 ended level and Boca Juniors won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Boca Juniors 1-1 CA Independiente Avellaneda.
Match details
Venue
Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda, Argentina
Cards
CA Independiente Avellaneda🟨 3🟥 0Boca Juniors🟨 4🟥 0
Fouls
14 - 17
Match decisions & VAR
55'Review overVAR review · incidentDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Squad status
Confirmed XI1 data source · Last update
CA Independiente Avellaneda 4-3-3
Starting XI
77Santiago MeleGK
4Santiago AriasDF
5Nahuel BanegasDF
35Juan Migue ArrayagoDF
36Sebastian ValdezDF
8Maximiliano MezaMF
16Mateo PérezMF
23Iván MarconeMF
6Chimy ÁvilaFW
7Santiago MontielFW
24Josias PalaisFW
Substitutes (12)
2Franco Calderon
9Iván Morales
10Luciano Cabral
13Juan Fedorco
14Lautaro Millán
19Matías Abaldo
22Facundo Zabala
29Leonardo Godoy
30Tomás Parmo
32Ruben Martinez
33Rodrigo Rey
34Felipe Tempone
Boca Juniors 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1Álvaro MonteroGK
2Lautaro Di LolloDF
17Leandro LozanoDF
27Malcom BraidaDF
42Facundo HerreraDF
5Leandro ParedesMF
18Milton DelgadoMF
19Leonel FloresMF
20Alan VelascoMF
25Santiago AscacibarMF
16Miguel MerentielFW
Substitutes (12)
4Jorge Figal
6Rodrigo Battaglia
7Carlos Palacios
9Milton Gimenez
12Leandro Brey
13Enner Valencia
15William Alarcón
22Sebastián Villa
24Dylan Gorosito
26Marco Pellegrino
32Ayrton Costa
53Joaquín Ruíz
Absentees
L. BlancoNot in squadStarted at least 3 of the last 4 matches; not in this match’s squad (no reason given).
No injury or suspension information for this match yet; only the squad data we hold is shown.
CA Independiente Avellaneda vs Boca Juniors: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
88' — Boca Juniors took the lead: 0-1. Facundo Herrera scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Boca Juniors won 0-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CA Independiente AvellanedaDrawBoca Juniors
Pre-match model estimate: CA Independiente Avellaneda 25%, draw 28%, Boca Juniors 47%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CA Independiente Avellaneda win in 25% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Boca Juniors win 47%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 0-1 (14%); both teams score in 44%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 12%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CA Independiente Avellaneda – Boca Juniors match report
