Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CF Trival Valderas and CD Galapagar drew 2-2 in Tercera Federacion, Group 12.
In our records CF Trival Valderas and CD Galapagar have met 4 times: CF Trival Valderas won 0, 3 ended level and CD Galapagar won 1.
Their latest meeting (): CF Trival Valderas 2-2 CD Galapagar.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
CF Trival Valderas vs CD Galapagar: the story of the match
33' — CF Trival Valderas took the lead: 1-0. 45' — CD Galapagar equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
76' — CF Trival Valderas went back in front: 2-1. 89' — CD Galapagar equalised: 2-2. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CF Trival ValderasDrawCD Galapagar
Pre-match model estimate: CF Trival Valderas 53%, draw 23%, CD Galapagar 24%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CF Trival Valderas win in 53% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and CD Galapagar win 24%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 54%. About 9.2 corners on average. About 5.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
