CA Progreso vs Defensor Sporting Club kick-off time: 01/11/2026 13:00
Uruguay
Primera Division, Clausura Round 13
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- CA ProgresoWWDLWScored in 6 matches in a row
- Defensor Sporting ClubDLLLLNo win in 5 matches
Recent meetings
More- Primera DivisionDefensor Sporting Club1 - 0CA Progreso
- Primera División - ClausuraCA Progreso2 - 3Defensor Sporting Club
- Primera División - AperturaDefensor Sporting Club1 - 2CA Progreso
Primera Division
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | CA Penarol | 12 | +8 | 21 |
| 6 | CA Progreso | 12 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | CA Juventud de las Piedras | 12 | +4 | 18 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo FC | 12 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Defensor Sporting Club | 12 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Espanol FC | 12 | -15 | 5 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
CA Progreso and Defensor Sporting Club meet on in Primera Division, Clausura.
Venue: Parque Abraham Paladino.
In our records CA Progreso and Defensor Sporting Club have met 6 times: CA Progreso won 1, 1 ended level and Defensor Sporting Club won 4.
Their latest meeting (): Defensor Sporting Club 1-0 CA Progreso.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
CA Progreso vs Defensor Sporting Club: preview
CA Progreso have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. CA Progreso have scored in 6 matches in a row. 5 of CA Progreso's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Defensor Sporting Club have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. Defensor Sporting Club have not won in 5 matches. 4 of Defensor Sporting Club's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6.
In their last 6 meetings, CA Progreso won 1, 1 ended level and Defensor Sporting Club won 4. CA Progreso are in position 6 with 19 points, Defensor Sporting Club in position 15 with 9 points. A win could lift CA Progreso as high as position 4. A win could lift Defensor Sporting Club as high as position 12.
Our pre-match model estimate: CA Progreso 37%, draw 27%, Defensor Sporting Club 36%.
Table by result
- A win lifts them to 4.
- A win can lift them as high as 12.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): CA Progreso win in 37% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Defensor Sporting Club win 36%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 49%. About 8.9 corners on average. About 5.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
