We had a Paris Saint-Germain win as the most likely outcome.
✓ Paris Saint-Germain 75%✗ Most likely score 0-2
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Paris Saint-Germain won 1-5.
Story
Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain: the story of the match
18' — Le Havre took the lead: 1-0. Josh Maja scored it. 26' — Paris Saint-Germain equalised: 1-1. Achraf Hakimi scored it. 30' — Paris Saint-Germain completed the turnaround: 1-2. Half time: 1-2.
55' — Paris Saint-Germain extended the lead: 1-3. Achraf Hakimi scored it. 62' — Paris Saint-Germain extended the lead: 1-4. Senny Mayulu scored it. 69' — Paris Saint-Germain extended the lead: 1-5. Achraf Hakimi scored it. Paris Saint-Germain won 1-5.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Le HavreDrawParis Saint-Germain
Pre-match model estimate: Le Havre 10%, draw 15%, Paris Saint-Germain 75%.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Le Havre win in 10% of the simulated matches, 15% end level and Paris Saint-Germain win 75%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 0-2 (11%); both teams score in 54%. About 9.1 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Le Havre let a lead slip and lost 5-1 to Paris Saint-Germain at Stade Océane. Achraf Hakimi scored 3 goals for Paris Saint-Germain. Achraf Hakimi was our player of the match, rated 10.0 by the ScoreMondo model for Paris Saint-Germain.
The story of the match
Josh Maja opened the scoring for Le Havre after 18 minutes, set up by Rayan Fofana. Achraf Hakimi equalised for Paris Saint-Germain at 1-1 after 26 minutes, set up by Achraf Hakimi. The officials disallowed a Paris Saint-Germain goal on 29 minutes. Just 1 minutes later (30') Paris Saint-Germain completed the turnaround at 2-1. Paris Saint-Germain led 2-1 at the break.
Le Havre had a goal ruled out in the 47th minute. Paris Saint-Germain extended their lead to 3-1 on 55 minutes thanks to Achraf Hakimi. Paris Saint-Germain extended their lead to 4-1 on 62 minutes thanks to Senny Mayulu, set up by Achraf Hakimi. Paris Saint-Germain extended their lead to 5-1 on 69 minutes thanks to Achraf Hakimi.
What the numbers say
Le Havre had 9 shots (6 on target) to Paris Saint-Germain's 12 (10). Corners finished 5-3.
What the result means
Le Havre have lost 4 in a row. That is 9 straight wins for Paris Saint-Germain.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.