3' — Braga took the lead: 1-0. Víctor Gómez scored it. Half time: 1-0.
76' — Braga extended the lead: 2-0. Gabri Martínez scored it. Braga won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
BragaDrawKAA Gent
Pre-match model estimate: Braga 32%, draw 25%, KAA Gent 43%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Braga win in 32% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and KAA Gent win 43%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Víctor Gómez opened the scoring for Braga after 3 minutes, set up by Gorby. Half-time: 1-0, Braga in front.
A Braga goal stood after a VAR check in the 76th minute. Braga extended their lead to 2-0 on 76 minutes thanks to Gabri Martínez, set up by Víctor Gómez.
The statistics
Braga had 11 shots (6 on target) to KAA Gent's 4 (2). Corners finished 6-3. KAA Gent's goalkeeper made 5 saves. Dangerous attacks: 132 for Braga, 96 for KAA Gent.
What the result means
Braga sit 16th on 3 points in the standings. In the table, KAA Gent are 17th with 3 points. A 4-game wait for victory is over for Braga. KAA Gent's 9-match unbeaten run is over.
Coming up
Braga visit Aarhus GF next, on 5 November in the UEFA Conference League. Next up for KAA Gent: away at KuPS Kuopio on Thursday 5 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
UEFA Conference League
