45' — BFC Daugavpils took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
53' — FK Auda equalised: 1-1. A. Appiah scored from the penalty spot. 57' — BFC Daugavpils went back in front: 2-1. E. Pinaskins scored it. BFC Daugavpils won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
BFC DaugavpilsDrawFK Auda
Pre-match model estimate: BFC Daugavpils 41%, draw 31%, FK Auda 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
BFC Daugavpils took the lead on 45 minutes. It was BFC Daugavpils 1-0 FK Auda at half-time.
FK Auda drew level at 1-1 on 53 minutes thanks to A. Appiah from the penalty spot. E. Pinaskins put BFC Daugavpils 2-1 ahead after 57 minutes, set up by D. Kiwinda.
What the numbers say
On target it was 2-1, from 2 and 3 attempts respectively. FK Auda produced 131 dangerous attacks to BFC Daugavpils' 83.
The bigger picture
BFC Daugavpils ended FK Auda's unbeaten run of 8 matches.
Virsliga
