SK Super Nova Salaspils vs BFC Daugavpils: the story of the match
29' — BFC Daugavpils took the lead: 0-1. M. Kopilovs scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 0-1.
59' — SK Super Nova Salaspils equalised: 1-1. R. Ķiršs scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SK Super Nova SalaspilsDrawBFC Daugavpils
Pre-match model estimate: SK Super Nova Salaspils 41%, draw 26%, BFC Daugavpils 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): SK Super Nova Salaspils win in 41% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and BFC Daugavpils win 33%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 57%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
SK Super Nova Salaspils – BFC Daugavpils match report
BFC Daugavpils took the lead in the 29th minute: M. Kopilovs from the penalty spot. It was SK Super Nova Salaspils 0-1 BFC Daugavpils at half-time.
R. Ķiršs equalised for SK Super Nova Salaspils at 1-1 after 59 minutes.
The statistics
The shot count read 9-2, 6-0 on target. Corners finished 11-2. Dangerous attacks: 278 for SK Super Nova Salaspils, 83 for BFC Daugavpils.
What it means
SK Super Nova Salaspils remain 6th, now with 40 points. BFC Daugavpils stay 4th on 52 points. The wait for a win goes on for SK Super Nova Salaspils: 5 matches now. BFC Daugavpils' winning streak stops at 4. Across 8 meetings in our records: 2 wins for SK Super Nova Salaspils and 6 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
