One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Barry Town UnitedKick-off0-0Trefelin BGC
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Barry Town United win in 68% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Trefelin BGC win 14%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 2-0 (10%); both teams score in 56%.
Previous meetings and form
Head to head
3Barry Town United0Draws0Trefelin BGC
Goals: 7 - 2 · last 3 meetings
FAW ChampionshipTrefelin BGC1 - 2Barry Town United
FAW ChampionshipBarry Town United2 - 1Trefelin BGC
Goals scored per match: 1Goals conceded per match: 2.1
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Barry Town United won 3-0.
Story
Barry Town United vs Trefelin BGC: the story of the match
15' — Barry Town United took the lead: 1-0. D. Barton scored it. 29' — J. Jones of Trefelin BGC was sent off. 29' — J. Jones of Trefelin BGC was sent off. 30' — Barry Town United extended the lead: 2-0. E. Dugan scored from the penalty spot. 35' — Barry Town United extended the lead: 3-0. N. Daley scored it. Half time: 3-0.
Barry Town United won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Barry Town UnitedDrawTrefelin BGC
Pre-match model estimate: Barry Town United 68%, draw 18%, Trefelin BGC 14%.
A 3-0 rout: Barry Town United swept Trefelin BGC aside at Jenner Park. N. Daley was our player of the match, rated 7.2 by the ScoreMondo model for Barry Town United. The match was played on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Jenner Park in Barry (matchday 15).
Key moments
D. Barton opened the scoring for Barry Town United after 15 minutes. Trefelin BGC were a man down from the 29th minute, when J. Jones was sent off. J. Jones saw a straight red card in the 29th minute, leaving Trefelin BGC short-handed. Barry Town United extended their lead to 2-0 in the 30th minute with E. Dugan from the penalty spot. N. Daley made it 3-0 for Barry Town United after 35 minutes.
It was Barry Town United 3-0 Trefelin BGC at half-time.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 13-3. Cards: 1-0 in yellows, plus 2 red cards for Trefelin BGC. Barry Town United committed 13 fouls to Trefelin BGC's 10, and the offside count read 2-1.
Barry Town United's yellow cards went to J. Shaw in the 48th minute.
The players
The best ScoreMondo ratings after the player of the match went to D. Barton (Barry Town United, 7.2), E. Dugan (Barry Town United, 6.6) and C. Sainty (Barry Town United, 6.2). From the Barry Town United bench came J. Crosbie on 61 minutes, J. Bernard on 62 minutes, S. Spence on 68 minutes and D. Smith on 75 minutes. Trefelin BGC made 6 changes: O. Degelman for D. Horgan-Evans (46'), O. Davies for L. Caramella-Gerrard (58'), C. Saunders for K. Georgievsky (68') and R. Piper for T. Brock (68').
Before the match
Barry Town United came into the match with 2 wins and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches — scoring in 8 straight games. Haverfordwest County beat Barry Town United 3-1 last time out. Before kick-off, Trefelin BGC's last 5 matches had brought 2 wins and 3 defeats. Trefelin BGC lost 2-0 at home to Flint Town United FC in their last match. The record between them over the last 3 matches reads 3-0-0 from Barry Town United's point of view. The last meeting, in 2023, ended in a 2-1 win for Barry Town United. Those 3 games produced 9 goals, an average of 3.0 per match. T. Owen was the referee.
What the result means
Barry Town United have now scored in 9 consecutive matches. Barry Town United beat Trefelin BGC for the first time since 2023.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
