Barry Town United vs Haverfordwest County: the story of the match
41' — Haverfordwest County took the lead: 0-1. R. Abbruzzese scored it. Half time: 0-1.
79' — Haverfordwest County extended the lead: 0-2. C. Shephard scored it. 80' — O. Cuddihy of Barry Town United was sent off. 83' — Barry Town United pulled one back: 1-2. N. Daley scored it. 84' — Haverfordwest County extended the lead: 1-3. B. Ahmun scored it. Haverfordwest County won 1-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Barry Town UnitedDrawHaverfordwest County
Pre-match model estimate: Barry Town United 46%, draw 25%, Haverfordwest County 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Barry Town United win in 46% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Haverfordwest County win 29%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 58%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Barry Town United – Haverfordwest County match report
Haverfordwest County took the lead on 41 minutes thanks to R. Abbruzzese. It was Barry Town United 0-1 Haverfordwest County at half-time.
Haverfordwest County extended their lead to 2-0 on 79 minutes thanks to C. Shephard. Barry Town United were a man down from the 80th minute, when O. Cuddihy was sent off for a second yellow card. Barry Town United pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 83 minutes thanks to N. Daley. Haverfordwest County extended their lead to 3-1 in the 84th minute: B. Ahmun.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 3-3.
What the result means
Barry Town United remain 6th, now with 25 points. Haverfordwest County climb from 12th to 11th on 13 points. Barry Town United have now scored in 8 consecutive matches.
Next fixtures
Barry Town United host Trefelin BGC next, on 30 October in the Cymru Premier. Next up for Haverfordwest County: away at Ammanford AFC on Friday 30 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Cymru Premier
