Trefelin BGC vs Flint Town United FC: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
59' — S. Coughlan of Trefelin BGC was sent off. 60' — Flint Town United FC took the lead: 0-1. T. Owolabi scored from the penalty spot. 66' — Flint Town United FC extended the lead: 0-2. T. Owolabi scored it. Flint Town United FC won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Trefelin BGCDrawFlint Town United FC
Pre-match model estimate: Trefelin BGC 30%, draw 24%, Flint Town United FC 46%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Trefelin BGC win in 30% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Flint Town United FC win 46%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 60%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Half-time: 0-0 between Trefelin BGC and Flint Town United FC.
After a review on 57 minutes, Flint Town United FC were given a penalty. Trefelin BGC were a man down from the 59th minute, when S. Coughlan was sent off. Flint Town United FC took the lead in the 60th minute: T. Owolabi from the penalty spot. Flint Town United FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 66 minutes thanks to T. Owolabi. A Flint Town United FC goal stood after a VAR check in the 68th minute.
The statistics
Corners finished 4-5. Dangerous attacks: 54 for Flint Town United FC, 32 for Trefelin BGC.
The bigger picture
Trefelin BGC remain 15th, now with 6 points. Flint Town United FC climb from 14th to 13th on 11 points.
Next fixtures
Trefelin BGC visit Barry Town United next, on 30 October in the Cymru Premier. Next up for Flint Town United FC: home to Holywell Town FC on Friday 30 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Cymru Premier
