51' — America MG took the lead: 0-1. Matías Segovia scored it. America MG won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Ceara SCDrawAmerica MG
Pre-match model estimate: Ceara SC 60%, draw 24%, America MG 16%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Ceara SC win in 60% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and America MG win 16%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-0 (15%); both teams score in 43%. About 11.1 corners on average. About 5.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 28%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The shot count read 11-8, 7-4 on target. Corners finished 9-1. Dangerous attacks: 72 for Ceara SC, 39 for America MG.
What the result means
Ceara SC remain 16th, now with 43 points. America MG stay 19th on 29 points. The wait for a win goes on for Ceara SC: 5 matches now. That is 4 straight wins for America MG. America MG had not beaten Ceara SC in any of the previous 3 meetings we have.
Next fixtures
Ceara SC's next match is away to Clube De Regatas Brasil on 14 November. America MG host Avai FC next, on 14 November in the Brasileiro Serie B.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Brasileiro Serie B
