19' — Cagliari took the lead: 0-1. P. Mendy scored it. 41' — Atalanta equalised: 1-1. G. Scamacca scored it. Half time: 1-1.
61' — Cagliari went back in front: 1-2. D. Maldini scored from the penalty spot. Cagliari won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AtalantaDrawCagliari
Pre-match model estimate: Atalanta 53%, draw 27%, Cagliari 20%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Cagliari took the lead in the 19th minute: P. Mendy, set up by M. Adopo. Atalanta drew level at 1-1 in the 41st minute: G. Scamacca, set up by C. De Ketelaere. It was Atalanta 1-1 Cagliari at half-time.
Cagliari went 2-1 up on 61 minutes thanks to D. Maldini from the penalty spot.
The bigger picture
Atalanta have now scored in 5 consecutive matches.
Coming up
Atalanta host Parma Calcio 1913 next, on 2 November in Serie A. Next up for Cagliari: away at Lazio on Sunday 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie A
