32' — AS Monaco took the lead: 1-0. Paris Brunner scored it. Half time: 1-0.
57' — Lens equalised: 1-1. Matthieu Udol scored it. 84' — AS Monaco went back in front: 2-1. An own goal by Jonathan Gradit. AS Monaco won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AS MonacoDrawLens
Pre-match model estimate: AS Monaco 43%, draw 26%, Lens 31%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AS Monaco took the lead in the 32nd minute: Paris Brunner, set up by Matthis Abline. It was AS Monaco 1-0 Lens at half-time.
Lens drew level at 1-1 on 57 minutes thanks to Matthieu Udol, set up by Florian Thauvin. AS Monaco went 2-1 up in the 84th minute: an own goal from Jonathan Gradit.
The bigger picture
AS Monaco are now unbeaten in 6 matches.
Coming up
AS Monaco's next match is away to Paris FC on 1 November. Lens host FC Como next, on 4 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Ligue 1
