FSC Phoenix Mariupol vs Chernihiv, 01/11/2026 09:00 – live score
Persha Liga
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- FSC Phoenix MariupolWWWDDUnbeaten in 7 matches
- FC ChernihivLWWLLScored in 4 matches in a row
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
FSC Phoenix Mariupol and FC Chernihiv meet on in Persha Liga.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards FSC Phoenix Mariupol (58%).
Why it matters: A win could put FSC Phoenix Mariupol top of the table.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
FSC Phoenix Mariupol vs FC Chernihiv: preview
FSC Phoenix Mariupol have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. FSC Phoenix Mariupol are unbeaten in 7 matches. 4 of FSC Phoenix Mariupol's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. FC Chernihiv have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. FC Chernihiv have scored in 4 matches in a row. 6 of FC Chernihiv's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6.
In their last 6 meetings, FSC Phoenix Mariupol won 4, 1 ended level and FC Chernihiv won 1. FSC Phoenix Mariupol are in position 3 with 24 points, FC Chernihiv in position 14 with 10 points. A win could lift FSC Phoenix Mariupol as high as position 1. A win could lift FC Chernihiv as high as position 13.
Our pre-match model estimate: FSC Phoenix Mariupol 58%, draw 24%, FC Chernihiv 18%.
Table by result
- A win takes them top.
- A win can lift them as high as 13.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): FSC Phoenix Mariupol win in 58% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and FC Chernihiv win 18%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 45%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
