FK Pardubice B vs FK Jablonec B: the story of the match
7' — FK Jablonec B took the lead: 0-1. 25' — FK Jablonec B extended the lead: 0-2. 28' — FK Pardubice B pulled one back: 1-2. Half time: 1-2.
FK Jablonec B won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FK Pardubice BDrawFK Jablonec B
Pre-match model estimate: FK Pardubice B 50%, draw 20%, FK Jablonec B 30%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Pardubice B win in 50% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and FK Jablonec B win 30%. Average goals 3.8; the most likely score is 2-1 (8%); both teams score in 71%. About 10.6 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FK Jablonec B took the lead on 7 minutes. FK Jablonec B extended their lead to 2-0 on 25 minutes. FK Pardubice B pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 28 minutes. It was FK Pardubice B 1-2 FK Jablonec B at half-time.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 6-5, 3-4 on target. FK Pardubice B won 9 corners, FK Jablonec B 5. FK Pardubice B produced 143 dangerous attacks to FK Jablonec B's 103.
What it means
FK Jablonec B have now won 5 in a row. It is FK Jablonec B's first win over FK Pardubice B in the last 4 meetings on record.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.