Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau: the story of the match
11' — Alianza Lima took the lead: 1-0. 44' — Atletico Grau equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
50' — Alianza Lima went back in front: 2-1. 83' — Alianza Lima extended the lead: 3-1. Alianza Lima won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Alianza LimaDrawAtletico Grau
Pre-match model estimate: Alianza Lima 62%, draw 26%, Atletico Grau 12%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Primera Division, Clausura
