Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Alay and Ilbirs meet on in Premier League.
In our records Alay and Ilbirs have met 6 times: Alay won 5, 1 ended level and Ilbirs won 0.
Their latest meeting (): Ilbirs 1-1 Alay.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Chances to win
Model estimate
39%26%35%
Alay39%Draw26%Ilbirs35%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Alay vs Ilbirs: preview
Alay have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Alay have lost 3 matches in a row. 3 of Alay's last 5 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3. Ilbirs have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Ilbirs have not won in 4 matches. 2 of Ilbirs's last 6 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3.
In their last 6 meetings, Alay won 5, 1 ended level and Ilbirs won 0.
Our pre-match model estimate: Alay 39%, draw 26%, Ilbirs 35%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Alay win in 39% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Ilbirs win 35%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Recent form for Alay: 2 wins and 3 defeats in 5, with 8 goals for and 8 against. Alay have lost 3 in a row. 3 of Alay's last 5 matches have had three or more goals.
Ilbirs come into it with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from 5 matches. Ilbirs have gone 4 matches without a win. Ilbirs average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game over their last 6.
Head to head
The record between them over the last 6 matches reads 5-1-0 from Alay's point of view. When they last met, on 1 March 2026, it ended 1-1. Ilbirs have not beaten Alay in 6 matches.
