18' — Augsburg took the lead: 0-1. R. Fellhauer scored it. Half time: 0-1.
58' — Augsburg extended the lead: 0-2. C. Brackelmann scored it. 66' — Werder Bremen pulled one back: 1-2. M. Grull scored it. 86' — Werder Bremen equalised: 2-2. N. Fullkrug scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Werder Bremen completed the turnaround: 3-2. M. Weiser scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Werder Bremen won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Werder BremenDrawAugsburg
Pre-match model estimate: Werder Bremen 43%, draw 25%, Augsburg 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Augsburg took the lead on 18 minutes thanks to R. Fellhauer, set up by F. Rieder. It was Werder Bremen 0-1 Augsburg at half-time.
C. Brackelmann made it 2-0 for Augsburg after 58 minutes, set up by A. Claude-Maurice. Werder Bremen pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 66 minutes thanks to M. Grull, set up by Chuki. Late on, in the 86th minute, Werder Bremen drew level at 2-2 through N. Fullkrug, set up by M. Grull. Just 4 minutes later (90') Werder Bremen completed the turnaround at 3-2, M. Weiser on target, set up by M. Grull.
What it means
Werder Bremen have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. Werder Bremen ended Augsburg's unbeaten run of 4 matches. It is Werder Bremen's first win over Augsburg in the last 4 meetings on record.
What’s next
Werder Bremen visit VfB Stuttgart next, on 7 November. Next up for Augsburg: away at RB Leipzig on Saturday 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Bundesliga
