11' — Stevenage took the lead: 0-1. M. Mellon scored it. 17' — Walsall equalised: 1-1. L. Simper scored it. 29' — Stevenage went back in front: 1-2. W. Marcal scored it. 32' — Stevenage extended the lead: 1-3. J. Houghton scored it. 42' — Stevenage extended the lead: 1-4. M. Mellon scored it. Half time: 1-4.
58' — Stevenage extended the lead: 1-5. M. Mellon scored it. 63' — Stevenage extended the lead: 1-6. B. Broggio scored it. Stevenage won 1-6.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
WalsallDrawStevenage
Pre-match model estimate: Walsall 26%, draw 26%, Stevenage 48%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Walsall were beaten 6-1 by a rampant Stevenage. M. Mellon was the star with 3 goals for Stevenage. The half-time score was 1-4.
How the match unfolded
Stevenage took the lead on 11 minutes thanks to M. Mellon, set up by K. Casey. Walsall drew level at 1-1 in the 17th minute: L. Simper, set up by A. Adomah. W. Marcal put Stevenage 2-1 ahead after 29 minutes, set up by J. Houghton. Stevenage extended their lead to 3-1 on 32 minutes thanks to J. Houghton. Stevenage extended their lead to 4-1 on 42 minutes thanks to M. Mellon.
Stevenage led 4-1 at the break.
Stevenage extended their lead to 5-1 in the 58th minute: M. Mellon, set up by M. Smith. Stevenage extended their lead to 6-1 in the 63rd minute: B. Broggio, set up by W. Marcal.
The bigger picture
Stevenage ended Walsall's unbeaten run of 5 matches.
What’s next
Next up for Walsall: away at Colchester United on Saturday 31 October. Stevenage's next match is away to Leicester City on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
EFL Trophy, Northern Group F
