Walsall vs Oldham Athletic: the story of the match
21' — Walsall took the lead: 1-0. Tai Sodje scored it. 27' — Walsall extended the lead: 2-0. Aaron Pressley scored it. Half time: 2-0.
58' — Walsall extended the lead: 3-0. Aaron Pressley scored from the penalty spot. 61' — Elicha Ahui of Walsall was sent off. Walsall won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
WalsallDrawOldham Athletic
Pre-match model estimate: Walsall 51%, draw 25%, Oldham Athletic 24%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Walsall win in 51% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Oldham Athletic win 24%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 48%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 3-0 rout: Walsall swept Oldham Athletic aside at Bescot Stadium. Walsall owed a lot to Aaron Pressley, who struck twice. It was 2-0 at half-time.
The story of the match
Tai Sodje opened the scoring for Walsall after 21 minutes. Just 6 minutes later (27') Walsall extended their lead to 2-0, Aaron Pressley on target. It was Walsall 2-0 Oldham Athletic at half-time.
Walsall extended their lead to 3-0 on 58 minutes thanks to Aaron Pressley from the penalty spot. Elicha Ahui saw a straight red card in the 61st minute, leaving Walsall short-handed.
Match statistics
On target it was 5-5, from 17 and 9 attempts respectively. Corners finished 8-1.
What the result means
Walsall are now unbeaten in 5 matches. Oldham Athletic's 3-match unbeaten run is over.
League Two
