One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Valencia (Wom)Kick-off0-0Granada (Wom)
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Valencia (Wom) 1.3 – 1.2 Granada (Wom). Most frequent scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Both teams score in 51% of the simulated matches. About 9.5 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
Valencia (Wom)Granada (Wom)
Granada (Wom): the stronger side on our resultsG(strong
Valencia (Wom): home advantage in this competitionV(clear
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Why it matters: A relegation battle for Valencia (Wom).
Table by result
Valencia (Wom)16Relegation
A win can lift them as high as 15.
Win15–16Draw16Loss16
Granada (Wom)12
A win lifts them to 8.
Win8Draw9–10Loss10–12
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Valencia (Wom) go into the game 16th on 6 points, Granada (Wom) 12th on 11 points. Valencia (Wom) trail Granada (Wom) by 5 points. At 16th, Valencia (Wom) are in the Relegation zone.
For Valencia (Wom), 16th, safety is 4 points away. The relegation places are 2 points behind Granada (Wom), 12th in the table.
Form guide
Valencia (Wom)WWLLLGranada (Wom)LDLWD
Recent form for Valencia (Wom): 2 wins and 3 defeats in 5, with 4 goals for and 7 against. Last time out, Valencia (Wom) beat Deportivo de A Coruna (Wom)2-0 away. Valencia (Wom)'s recent home record reads 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 8. 6 of Valencia (Wom)'s last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
Granada (Wom) come into it with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 5 matches. Granada (Wom) have gone 3 matches without a win. Granada (Wom)'s recent away record reads 2 wins and 3 defeats in 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Granada (Wom) average 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game over their last 10.
Previous meetings
Valencia (Wom) and Granada (Wom) have met 6 times in our records: 4 wins for Valencia (Wom) and 2 for Granada (Wom). When they last met, on 19 April 2025, Granada (Wom) won 2-1. There have been 20 goals in the 6 meetings, 3.3 a game.