Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
USM Khenchela vs CR Temouchent: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0.
61' — CR Temouchent took the lead: 0-1. 90' — USM Khenchela equalised: 1-1. It came in the closing minutes. 92' — USM Khenchela had a player sent off. After 46' the momentum swung to USM Khenchela. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
USM KhenchelaCR Temouchent
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min2212
Last 15 min2831
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): USM Khenchela win in 57% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and CR Temouchent win 16%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 1-0 (17%); both teams score in 37%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It was USM Khenchela 0-0 CR Temouchent at half-time.
USM Khenchela took over after the 46th minute, pinning CR Temouchent back. CR Temouchent took the lead on 61 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, USM Khenchela drew level at 1-1. USM Khenchela had a player sent off on 92 minutes. CR Temouchent had a goal ruled out in the 94th minute.
What the numbers say
USM Khenchela produced 85 dangerous attacks to CR Temouchent's 57.
What the result means
USM Khenchela stay 13th on 6 points. CR Temouchent drop from 8th to 9th on 10 points. USM Khenchela end a run of 3 straight defeats. CR Temouchent extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
