Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CA Independiente Siguatepeque and Real Espana drew 1-1 in National League.
Venue: Estadio Municipal Carlos Miranda.
Match details
Venue
Estadio Municipal Carlos Miranda, Comayagua, Honduras
Match decisions & VAR
10'Review overVAR review · incidentDecision
30'Goal disallowedReal EspanaDecision · Score 0-1
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
CA Independiente Siguatepeque vs Real Espana: the story of the match
Real Espana started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 24' — Real Espana took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1, with Real Espana applying more of the pressure.
80' — CA Independiente Siguatepeque equalised: 1-1. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CA Independiente SiguatepequeDrawReal Espana
Pre-match model estimate: CA Independiente Siguatepeque 15%, draw 20%, Real Espana 65%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
CA Independiente SiguatepequeReal Espana
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min012
Last 15 min422
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CA Independiente Siguatepeque win in 15% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Real Espana win 65%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 0-2 (11%); both teams score in 52%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CA Independiente Siguatepeque – Real Espana match report
Real Espana started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. Real Espana took the lead on 24 minutes. The officials disallowed a Real Espana goal on 30 minutes. Half-time: 0-1, Real Espana in front.
CA Independiente Siguatepeque drew level at 1-1 on 80 minutes.
The statistics
CA Independiente Siguatepeque had 5 shots (4 on target) to Real Espana's 9 (7). Corners finished 5-6. Dangerous attacks: 52 for Real Espana, 28 for CA Independiente Siguatepeque.
What it means
CA Independiente Siguatepeque remain 10th, now with 13 points. Real Espana stay 2nd on 29 points. The wait for a win goes on for CA Independiente Siguatepeque: 7 matches now. Real Espana are now unbeaten in 4 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
